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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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here's how you get to the romney 270. he is going to win florida, and i know you follow the polls, some of you do. it says it neck-and-neck. the head back appoints. in fact of the sophisticated polling to run the is significantly ahead in florida, going to not have to put marco rubio on the ticket. it is a state that is fundamentally a republican state and growing more so as demographic changes continue to increase. the population from the northeast down and to florida. ohio, which is my home state, is pretty easy for me to predict. i go there a lot. going there on thursday for five days. at try and stay in touch, not with political elites in columbus, the the governor is a wonderful governor. i like to talk to, believe it or not, people in ohio, my hometown, uniontown, a democratic town, not an obama town. to they want the industry to continue unimpeded in its spread of wealth and jobs. the first to a new steel plants have opened in the last four years. they produce piping for the fracking industry which president obama
here's how you get to the romney 270. he is going to win florida, and i know you follow the polls, some of you do. it says it neck-and-neck. the head back appoints. in fact of the sophisticated polling to run the is significantly ahead in florida, going to not have to put marco rubio on the ticket. it is a state that is fundamentally a republican state and growing more so as demographic changes continue to increase. the population from the northeast down and to florida. ohio, which is my home...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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i have been asked with mitt romney and obama we have enough politics. but i was walking with prime minister assure round he said politics is the pyramid. everybody wants to move up. the minister wants to become prime minister. it is the game. but i am beyond. i am working my way up. [laughter] >> thank you for coming. it is a great speech. not if israel wanted attack the reactors, five years down the road what kind of protracted conflict? it could take out the reactor but not the knowledge base, where the material that is their? idahoans strike could stop that. it seems once the cat is out of the baguette is out. >> issued not be the message of israel do saying we're not allowing iran to become nuclear. after i romney would find another country i hear from the muslim brotherhood to dislike the neighbors following the footsteps of iran. >> as a follow-up to the question in the september 3rd issue of "the new yorker" from david grossman, a one to get your reaction. earlier this month a former head of military intelligence told the jerusalem post the israe
i have been asked with mitt romney and obama we have enough politics. but i was walking with prime minister assure round he said politics is the pyramid. everybody wants to move up. the minister wants to become prime minister. it is the game. but i am beyond. i am working my way up. [laughter] >> thank you for coming. it is a great speech. not if israel wanted attack the reactors, five years down the road what kind of protracted conflict? it could take out the reactor but not the...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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. >> host: if any of us were to go into the romney campaign are the obama campaign and we were to look around the headquarters how many people -- is there a lot of young staff? what does it look like? >> guest: chicago dozens of people doing voter data and date and fundraising data on line analytics and every state there are jobs that are data jobs, voter file managers targeting directors. the obama campaign while thousands of people around the country hundreds of them are directly interacting with data every day. >> host: do you think one of the parties, the republicans are the democrats, is more adept at using this technique or they'll sort of at the same level? >> guest: i think at the moment the democrats are ahead to some leapfrogging cycle to cycle with different parties and one of the things that he comes clear and as i look back over where innovations took place it is one of the stories in this book that these campaigns are really persistent innovation. we build the company and at last six months or 18 months. you don't really know if it is going to be in advance and you are co
. >> host: if any of us were to go into the romney campaign are the obama campaign and we were to look around the headquarters how many people -- is there a lot of young staff? what does it look like? >> guest: chicago dozens of people doing voter data and date and fundraising data on line analytics and every state there are jobs that are data jobs, voter file managers targeting directors. the obama campaign while thousands of people around the country hundreds of them are directly...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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not just romney and obama, but nobody has spoken at either of the conventions engines the word supreme court. so, you know, i hope this means you're interested in if and the subject to kind of think about it. it's jury, very strange. one thing i will mention is there is an incipient debate going on in the country over the life tenure for the supreme court justices. nothing is good change right away but it's a conversation that we haven't heard for quite a long time if ever. the emerging democracies of the world and many older democracies, to back have constitutional court's have adopted many ideas from the u.s. constitution and the the u.s. supreme court. one thing is life tenure for the court judges. they all of either a term of years or in age limit and so scholars and politicians started to scratch their heads and say the life tenure on the supreme court really most serves the interest of the public. for one thing, if the had a term of years or age limit i think we wouldn't have -- it would certainly lower the temperature of the confirmation battles because you knew you wouldn't be
not just romney and obama, but nobody has spoken at either of the conventions engines the word supreme court. so, you know, i hope this means you're interested in if and the subject to kind of think about it. it's jury, very strange. one thing i will mention is there is an incipient debate going on in the country over the life tenure for the supreme court justices. nothing is good change right away but it's a conversation that we haven't heard for quite a long time if ever. the emerging...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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i think that if romney wins, ruth bader ginsburg will try to hold on for the next four years. if obama wins, kennedy and scalia will try to hold on, but you never know what'll happen. >> can you speculate what was in roberts mind when he famously replied that the job of the justice was just [inaudible] as opposed to change the rules? >> well, that is the most quoted thing he has ever said. 80% of the time, critically about him, look, we all, supreme court justices included, perceive ourselves in certain ways and i don't think john roberts it's up in the morning and says i am a judicial activist and is trying to disrupt the united states. clarence thomas does wake up and say that. [laughter] i don't mean that in a critical way. clarence thomas lily has a very different attitude towards president than any of the other justices. justice story has senate. thomas doesn't really believe in the rule of presidents. he thinks that these decisions are wrong and we ought to overturn the mall. and that is a very different attitude than any of the other justices. roberts has an image of hi
i think that if romney wins, ruth bader ginsburg will try to hold on for the next four years. if obama wins, kennedy and scalia will try to hold on, but you never know what'll happen. >> can you speculate what was in roberts mind when he famously replied that the job of the justice was just [inaudible] as opposed to change the rules? >> well, that is the most quoted thing he has ever said. 80% of the time, critically about him, look, we all, supreme court justices included, perceive...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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if i told you romney hadn't paid taxes for x number of years make it more or less likely to vote for them. some people fell you would they move. people telling you they would move is a pretty sort of con ject yiewrl thing. i wouldn't cognitively trust anybody that would do under the hypothetical scenario. they may or may not already know. that's part of the problem with the polls they ask people if you knew of a piece of information you may or may not already know. or in focus groups you bring somebody in and so you a dozen people and show them an ad and you ask them again did everybody change their mind. you're purchasing somebody to change their mind and they're being forced to watch an ad they might tune out. using the experimental things that the obama campaign has. they randomly assign mail ron comely to a -- randomly assign tv ads to certain markets and then because they're polling across those markets, they can see who moved, based on message or type of ad or mail this they have the data, you know, thousand of individual data points on each volter. they can look at the attribu
if i told you romney hadn't paid taxes for x number of years make it more or less likely to vote for them. some people fell you would they move. people telling you they would move is a pretty sort of con ject yiewrl thing. i wouldn't cognitively trust anybody that would do under the hypothetical scenario. they may or may not already know. that's part of the problem with the polls they ask people if you knew of a piece of information you may or may not already know. or in focus groups you bring...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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mitt romney is therefore better or worse. and in all seriousness, when barack obama's parents got married in 1960, it wasn't in kenya. it was in hawaii. they got married in hawaii. there were people in prison in this country for racial intermarriage. that's no joke. it was illegal in 20 states in 1960, and it gives you an idea of how much the country has changed in a good way. but right after richard nixon became president, for vacancies appeared on the sprinkler. you never know how that's going to work. jimmy carter is the only president in american history to serve a full term without having a single nominee. there were no vacations while he was there. richard nixon was only president for five and half years. he had to leave early, remember? [laughter] geek out for appointments because chief justice warren left. john hartman and hugo black left. they were replaced by richard nixon with chief justice warren burger, harry blackmun, powell, and william rehnquist. and as you think about that list, it illustrates a theme that a
mitt romney is therefore better or worse. and in all seriousness, when barack obama's parents got married in 1960, it wasn't in kenya. it was in hawaii. they got married in hawaii. there were people in prison in this country for racial intermarriage. that's no joke. it was illegal in 20 states in 1960, and it gives you an idea of how much the country has changed in a good way. but right after richard nixon became president, for vacancies appeared on the sprinkler. you never know how that's...